Since Green Party was ideologically closer to Democrats, Gore would have probably received at least 51% of the 97,448 votes Nader received in Florida (51% x 97,488 = 49,719). If Bush received 49% of Nader’s votes, he would have gotten an additional 47,769 votes (49% x 97,488 = 47,769). In that case, Gore would have won Florida by 1,413 votes ((2,912,253 Gore actual + 49,719 Nader) – (2,912,790 Bush actual + 47,769 Nader) = 1,413).
The “butterfly ballot” in Palm Beach County caused some votes intended for Gore to go to Buchanan. If even 20% of the 3,411 votes for Buchanan (682 votes) were meant for Gore, and the balance remained Buchanan votes, Gore would have had 2,912,935 votes (2,912,253 + 682), and Gore would have won Florida by 145 votes (2,912,935 less 2,912,790).
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